Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.058648 0.068468 0.079402 0.092478 0.107688 0.124824 0.145601
2025-10-12 0.043849 0.056785 0.072712 0.093754 0.120829 0.154508 0.199617
2025-10-19 0.034885 0.048911 0.067558 0.094149 0.131099 0.180661 0.252278
2025-10-26 0.029273 0.043812 0.064399 0.095653 0.141913 0.207914 0.309395
2025-11-02 0.025587 0.040516 0.062840 0.098610 0.154511 0.238622 0.375048
2025-11-09 0.021350 0.035559 0.057868 0.095386 0.156942 0.254068 0.419309
2025-11-16 0.018604 0.032445 0.055161 0.095082 0.163542 0.276319 0.476691
2025-11-23 0.016268 0.029605 0.052414 0.094162 0.168741 0.296593 0.533027
2025-11-30 0.014771 0.027970 0.051421 0.096005 0.178735 0.325911 0.608404
2025-12-07 0.013100 0.025755 0.049068 0.095007 0.183371 0.346165 0.669815
2025-12-14 0.011476 0.023384 0.046087 0.092377 0.184510 0.359983 0.720682
2025-12-21 0.010080 0.021254 0.043269 0.089639 0.184988 0.372426 0.770176
2025-12-28 0.009361 0.020415 0.042912 0.091845 0.195749 0.406486 0.867929
2026-01-04 0.008571 0.019318 0.041891 0.092552 0.203546 0.435610 0.959506
2026-01-11 0.007837 0.018235 0.040750 0.092832 0.210437 0.463634 1.052314
2026-01-18 0.007283 0.017470 0.040190 0.094294 0.220067 0.498587 1.164723
2026-01-25 0.006890 0.017024 0.040270 0.097204 0.233311 0.542996 1.304117
2026-02-01 0.006125 0.015580 0.037881 0.094025 0.231984 0.554360 1.368147
2026-02-08 0.005628 0.014723 0.036758 0.093726 0.237468 0.582087 1.474722
2026-02-15 0.005149 0.013842 0.035460 0.092818 0.241326 0.606368 1.575900
2026-02-22 0.004863 0.013422 0.035252 0.094635 0.252256 0.649131 1.728969
2026-03-01 0.004464 0.012643 0.034030 0.093652 0.255823 0.673925 1.838832
2026-03-08 0.004031 0.011712 0.032290 0.091059 0.254794 0.686833 1.918926